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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2026-02-03T19:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2026-02-03T19:00Z
DONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/44446/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the west/northwest in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1 imagery. This event is visible to the northwest in STEREO A COR2 imagery following a data gap that ends at 2026-02-04T03:23Z. The source may be related to a slow-to-lift off filament eruption starting around 2026-02-03T15:00Z which spans ~N20W30 to ~N00W45 as seen in SDO AIA 193/304 imagery. A subsequent dimming is observed in SDO AIA 193 imagery around this time which appears to move westward.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-02-07T20:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 51.20 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-02-05T16:48Z
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